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News: The counter-revolution will soon be as dead as the Q Society!

Author Topic: Electoral Methods  (Read 2726 times)

Offline Allama

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #15 on: December 10, 2014, 10:00:44 PM »
Thank you for the excellent example, Myroria. The theoretical ones were also quite good, but hopefully seeing that this is a real-world problem with plurality votes will drive the point home.

All the opposition to Condorcet seems to be versions of "But this is how we've always done it" or "Plurality is easy and I don't want to learn something new." No offense intended to those in that camp, I just can't see any logic to it.

Offline Delfos

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #16 on: December 10, 2014, 11:59:55 PM »
Let me give you an example from my home state of Maine. In 2010, we held an election to choose our governor. The four candidates were Republican Paul LePage, independents Elliot Cutler and Shawn Moody, and Democrat Libby Mitchell.

Now, Cutler and Mitchell had most of the same voter base but because they were both running they split their votes between themselves and despite 62% of the electorate opposing LePage, he won with 38% of the vote, as neither Cutler, nor Moody, nor Mitchell h enough votes to beat him. Therefore, despite the fact that the majority of the electorate was opposed to LePage's views, he became our governor. This is the danger of a plurality system - the will of the people can be thwarted by a simple voting method.

too bad, that's how democracy works, there were more people wanting LePage than either one of the other characters, if they didn't want to split the vote they'd run together or make a coalition at the end, which is what happens in most democracies, there's not more than one list or candidate from each party.

What you're saying, a group that has majority will always win, even if there are more people voting for a single candidate, so if in 5 you run with 2 or 3 you will have voter base advantage? haha that sounds great for hegemonic groups, you can skew the election every time, 1 candidate to appeal afro'muricans, another to appeal to hispanic, another to appeal to conservative white and you'll guarantee a win.

Offline Gulliver

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #17 on: December 11, 2014, 12:31:23 AM »
too bad, that's how democracy works, there were more people wanting LePage than either one of the other characters, if they didn't want to split the vote they'd run together or make a coalition at the end, which is what happens in most democracies, there's not more than one list or candidate from each party.
This is exactly why systems that use plurality voting almost always devolve into two-party systems, because that's the only way to avoid splitting the vote. The only thing this accomplishes is limiting voter choices, so I don't see why we would ever want to actively encourage it with our choice of voting system when there are numerous alternatives which avoid the problem.

What you're saying, a group that has majority will always win, even if there are more people voting for a single candidate, so if in 5 you run with 2 or 3 you will have voter base advantage? haha that sounds great for hegemonic groups, you can skew the election every time, 1 candidate to appeal afro'muricans, another to appeal to hispanic, another to appeal to conservative white and you'll guarantee a win.
I have no idea what you're saying about multiple candidates (certainly, there's no advantage for a single faction to run multiple candidates, since each vote can only be assigned to one of their candidates at a time), but yes, if a majority of voters prefer every other candidate to Bob, Bob should never win, even if Bob has the most first preferences. Otherwise you end up with a winner who is opposed by a majority of voters (like LePage), which is entirely contrary to the point of democratic elections.
« Last Edit: December 11, 2014, 12:37:42 AM by Gulliver »

Offline Delfos

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #18 on: December 11, 2014, 12:58:43 AM »
This is exactly why systems that use plurality voting almost always devolve into two-party systems, because that's the only way to avoid splitting the vote. The only thing this accomplishes is limiting voter choices, so I don't see why we would ever want to actively encourage it with our choice of voting system when there are numerous alternatives which avoid the problem.
Arguably. Many european countries have plurality that don't end up with "alternance" of power (ie. two main parties winning all the time against each other), you're just used to see it that way and at some cases that does happen ad eternum, but that happens in any system, the centrist, less controversial, less extreme, less anti-things, more consensus candidate will always win even against a majority.

All the opposition to Condorcet seems to be versions of "But this is how we've always done it" or "Plurality is easy and I don't want to learn something new." No offense intended to those in that camp, I just can't see any logic to it.
All systems have their flaws, saying one is better than the other because it's new isn't very valid, we've used condorcet in Taijitu many times in the past.

certainly, there's no advantage for a single faction to run multiple candidates, since each vote can only be assigned to one of their candidates at a time, but yes, if a majority of voters prefer every other candidate to Bob, Bob should never win, even if Bob has the most first preferences. Otherwise you end up with a winner who is opposed by a majority of voters (like LePage), which is entirely contrary to the point of democratic elections.
Plurality or any other system of democratic vote is never contrary to the point of democratic elections. There are perceivably/subjectively more democratic ways than others, and a Participatory vote, in our case in Ecclesia, is in my opinion much more democratic than anything you've described so far.

Offline Gulliver

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #19 on: December 11, 2014, 01:14:35 AM »
Arguably. Many european countries have plurality that don't end up with "alternance" of power (ie. two main parties winning all the time against each other), you're just used to see it that way and at some cases that does happen ad eternum, but that happens in any system, the centrist, less controversial, less extreme, less anti-things, more consensus candidate will always win even against a majority.
It's true many European democracies have big front-runner parties, but there's a difference between there being two big parties alongside smaller parties and there being only two parties. Also, your assertion that the majority consensus candidate will always win, no matter the system, is demonstrably false. Governor LePage from Myroria's example is certainly not a moderate and certainly not a compromise acceptable to the majority of Maine voters, and yet he won.

All systems have their flaws, saying one is better than the other because it's new isn't very valid, we've used condorcet in Taijitu many times in the past.
Allama never said it's better because it's newer, she just said it isn't worse because of it. Also, while all systems are flawed some are more flawed than others.

Plurality or any other system of democratic vote is never contrary to the point of democratic elections. There are perceivably/subjectively more democratic ways than others, and a Participatory vote, in our case in Ecclesia, is in my opinion much more democratic than anything you've described so far.
The point of democratic elections is to elective politicians who represent the voting body. A candidate who a majority of voters would prefer any other candidate to is certainly not representative. And I don't know what you mean by "participatory" voting. It sounds like you're confusing the electorate with the method of election. If we weren't to use plurality, the electorate would still be the entire Ecclesia of all citizens, so this seems like a moot point.

Offline Funkadelia

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #20 on: December 11, 2014, 02:50:48 AM »
too bad, that's how democracy works, there were more people wanting LePage than either one of the other characters, if they didn't want to split the vote they'd run together or make a coalition at the end, which is what happens in most democracies, there's not more than one list or candidate from each party.

I refuse to debate with someone who uses "That's how democracy works" as their explanation for why we should or should not have a particular voting system.
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Offline Delfos

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #21 on: December 11, 2014, 03:10:41 AM »
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brazilian_general_election,_2014#Results

We've already discussed enough. For those who weren't in IRC, this is the results in Brazil. My point is that if a candidate doesn't have a majority to win against the 2nd most voted, they'd do a run-off, and the context of A vs B is different than A vs B vs C vs +++... In Brazil, the 3rd most voted after being defeated on the 1st run gave support to the 2nd most voted, together they make more than 50% and most of their electorate base support for their platform was running against A alone. A (Dilma) would be the most evil. What happens in a run-off is that the context is different, it changes from A being evil for who is the lesser evil. In a minority perspective, voting for A vs B or not voting at all after your C or other option is eliminated is much different than a general election with all the option. Voters "think twice" when you have not found a majority leader on the first vote.

Condorcet wouldn't allow you to equate A vs B in a later match without the other options, it'd always be C against all, either by voting on C alone or ranking others lower than C, whichever way they felt at the time. Dilma has won the 2nd vote majority after getting bellow 50% on the first vote.

And finito, bc Condorcet already won but you keep discussing this for some reason. Condorcet wins by plurality hahaha, the irony.

I refuse to debate with someone who uses "That's how democracy works" as their explanation for why we should or should not have a particular voting system.
If you wouldn't pick things out of context I'd appreciate. :) Are you saying LePage's victory was not democratic? If you want to discuss this alone, I'll totally humor the crowd.

Offline Eluvatar

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Re: Electoral Methods
« Reply #22 on: December 11, 2014, 04:13:34 AM »
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brazilian_general_election,_2014#Results

We've already discussed enough. For those who weren't in IRC, this is the results in Brazil. My point is that if a candidate doesn't have a majority to win against the 2nd most voted, they'd do a run-off, and the context of A vs B is different than A vs B vs C vs +++... In Brazil, the 3rd most voted after being defeated on the 1st run gave support to the 2nd most voted, together they make more than 50% and most of their electorate base support for their platform was running against A alone. A (Dilma) would be the most evil. What happens in a run-off is that the context is different, it changes from A being evil for who is the lesser evil. In a minority perspective, voting for A vs B or not voting at all after your C or other option is eliminated is much different than a general election with all the option. Voters "think twice" when you have not found a majority leader on the first vote.
In a preferential vote, the voter is asked to "think twice" in the first place.
Condorcet wouldn't allow you to equate A vs B in a later match without the other options, it'd always be C against all, either by voting on C alone or ranking others lower than C, whichever way they felt at the time. Dilma has won the 2nd vote majority after getting bellow 50% on the first vote.
It's possible to 'bullet vote' in Condorcet. One can refuse to express a preference between candidates.
And finito, bc Condorcet already won but you keep discussing this for some reason. Condorcet wins by plurality hahaha, the irony.
The real irony is that, as you can select multiple options, the poll is an approval vote :P
                                 
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